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´Ù¸¥ ÇÑÆíÀ¸·Î °øÈ­´ç¿¡¼­ äÅÃÇÑ Á¤Ã¥ º¸°í¼­ 2025¿¡¼­´Â ºÏÇÑÀ» Â÷±â ÇàÁ¤ºÎ°¡ ÁÖ¸ñÇØ¾ß ÇÒ ´Ù¼¸ ±¹°¡ Áß Çϳª·Î Á¦½ÃÇÏ°í´Â ÀÖÀ¸³ª, ¹Ì±¹Àº À뱂 ¹®Á¦¸¦ ¾ð±ÞÇÏÁö ¾ÊÀ¸¸é¼­, ºÏÇÑÀ» ¹Ì±¹°ú µ¿¸Í±¹µéÀ» À§ÇùÇÒ ´É·ÂÀ» °¡Áø »ç½Ç»óÀÇ ÇÙ º¸À¯±¹À¸·Î ³²µµ·Ï ÇÏ´Â °ÍÀ» Çã¿ëÇÒ ¼ö ¾ø´Ù°í ºÐ¸íÈ÷ ¾ð±ÞÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Â °ÍÀ» À¯ÀÇÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù.( 2024, 02, 23 )

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1994³â 10¿ù 21ÀÏ, 4°³¿ù °£ÀÇ Çù»ó ³¡¿¡ ¹Ì-ºÏÇÑ °£¿¡´Â Agreed Framework ( on Korean Peninsula )¸¦ Geneva ¿¡¼­ Á¶ÀÎÇÏ°í ±× ÇÙ ¹®Á¦ °ü°è¸¦ Á¶À²Çϱ⠽ÃÀÛÇß´Ù.

³ª´Â 1988³â 1¿ù Hawaii ¿¡ ÀÖ´Â Pacific Forum À» ¸¶Áö¸· ¹æ¹®Ã³·Î ÇÏ°í ¹Ì ±¹¹«¼º ÃÊûÀ¸·Î International Visitor ·Î¼­ÀÇ ¹Ì±¹ ¹æ¹®À» ³¡³»°í ÀÖ¾ú´Ù.

Rear Admiral Lloyd R. ¡°JOE¡± Vasey ´ç½Ã Pacific Forum ÀÇ »ç¹«ÃÑÀå ( 2Â÷´ëÀü ´ëÀÏÀüÀÇ ÂüÀü¿ë»ç )ÀÇ ¾È³»·Î ±× ¹æ¹®À» ³¡³»´Â °úÁ¤À» ¹â°í ÀÖ¾ú´Ù.

À̶§ ºÎÅÍ ³ª´Â Pacific Forum ÀÇ È¸¿ø ( Research Member )À¸·Î °ü°è ÀڷḦ ¹Þ±â ½ÃÀÛÇß°í, °ð À̾ ¹Ì-ÀϺ» ¹æÀ§Çù·Â¿¡ °üÇÑ ÀڷḦ ¹Þ±â ½ÃÀÛÇÏ¿´°í, 1997³â¿¡´Â ÀÏ-¹Ì ¹æÀ§Çù·Â Áöħ ( The Guidelines for Japan-US Defense Cooperation, Sep. 23, 1997 ) À» º¼ ¼ö ÀÖ¾ú´Ù.

ÀÌ ´ç½Ã ¹Ì-ÀÏ ¾Èº¸ Çù·Â ȸÀÇÀÇ Áß½ÉÀ̾ú´ø Joseph Nye ¿Í Armitage µîÀÇ ±ÛÀ̳ª ÇൿÀº ¡° Joe¡± Vasey ÀÇ Pacific Forum À» ºÒ¾ÈÁ¤ ÇÏ°Ô ¸¸µå´Â ÀÛ¿ëÀ» ÇÏ´Â °ÍÀ¸·Î º¸¿´°í ƯÈ÷ ÀϺ»Àº, ¹Ì-ºÏÇÑ °£ÀÇ È¸ÀÇ¿Í ¹Ì-ÀÏ ¾Èº¸ ÇùÀÇ°¡ ºÏÇÑÀ̶ó´Â ¿ä¼Ò·Î ÀÎÇØ ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ ¾Èº¸ Áö¿øÀÇ È®º¸¸¦ À§ÇÑ Çѱ¹°ú ÀϺ»ÀÇ °æÀïÀû Á¤Ã¥Àû °ü°è·Î º¸·Á´Â ´À³¦À» ¹Þ¾Ò´Ù. ÀÌ ¿ÍÁß¿¡ Pacific Forum Àº CSIS ¿Í ÇÕÁ®Áö´Â °úÁ¤µµ ³ªÅ¸³µ´Ù. ±×·¯³ª ¡°Joe¡± Vasey ´Â ±×°¡ »ç¸ÁÇÒ ¶§ ±îÁö Pacific Forum À» Àå¾ÇÇÏ°í ÀÖ¾ú´Ù.

ÇѹݵµÀÇ ºñÇÙÈ­ ¿­Ç³ÀÌ Áö³ª°£ ´ÙÀ½, Jenny TownÀ» ºñ·ÔÇÑ Àü¹®°¡µéÀº ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ ºñÇÙÈ­ Á¤Ã¥ ½Ãµµ°¡ ½ÇÆÐÇß´Ù°í ÆÇ´ÜÀ» ÇÏ°í ÀÖ°í, µû¶ó¼­ ´ÙÀ½ÀÇ ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ Á¤±ÇÀº ºÏÇÑ ¹®Á¦¸¦ ¾î¶»°Ô ´Ù·ç¾î¾ß ÇÒ °ÍÀÎÁö ¸¦ ³íÀÇÇÏ°í ÀÖÀ¸¸ç, ƯÈ÷ Trump Á¤ºÎ°¡ µé¾î¼­¸é ºÏÇÑÀ» ÇÙ º¸À¯±¹À¸·Î ÀÎÁ¤ÇÏ´Â ¹®Á¦°¡ ´ëµÎµÇ°í ÀÖÀ¸¸ç,ºÏ ÇÙ ¹®Á¦¿¡ÀÇ Á¢±ÙÀÌ ½É°¢ÇÏ°Ô ³íÀǵǰí ÀÖ´Ù.

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ÀÌ ³í¹® ( Challenges of Negotiating with North Korea, Jenny Town, 2021, April 7, )Àº 2021³â¿¡ ¾²¿©Áø °ÍÀ̹ǷΠÁö±ÝÀº ÀӱⰡ ³¡³­ »óÅ¿¡¼­, ¶Ç Çѹݵµ¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ¾Æ¹«·± ºñÇÙÈ­¸¦ À§ÇÑ Á¶Ä¡¸¦ ÃëÇÏÁö ¾Ê¾Ò´ø »óÅ¿¡¼­ ´ëºÏÁ¤Ã¥À» ½ÃµµÇÒ °ÍÀ̳ÄÀÇ ¹®Á¦·Î ´Ù·ç´Â °ÍÀº Àǹ̰¡ ¾øÀ» °ÍÀÌ´Ù. ÀúÀÚµµ ÁöÀûÇÏ´Ù ½ÍÀÌ ÀÌ ºñÇÙÈ­°¡ ´Ù½Ã ºÏÇÑÀÇ °ü½ÉÀ» »ç·Î ÀâÀ» °ÍÀΰ¡¿¡ ´ëÇؼ­µµ ºÏÇÑÀÌ °ü½ÉÀ» ±â¿ïÀ̵µ·Ï Çϱâ À§ÇÑ Incentive¸¦ Æ÷ÇÔ½ÃÅ°´Â °ÍÀÌ È¿°úÀûÀÏ ¼ö ÀÖ°í, ±×°Íµµ ºÏÇÑÀÌ ¹Ù¶ö °ÍÀ¸·Î º¸ÀÌ´Â SanctionÀÇ Á¦°Å, ¶Ç´Â Àεµ ÁÖÀÇÀû Áö¿ø °°Àº °ÍÀ̶ó¸é ºÏÇÑÀÌ °ü½ÉÀ» º¸ÀÏ ¼ö ÀÖÀ» °ÍÀÌ´Ù.

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¿¹¸¦ µé¾î CNN ÀÌ ÃëÇÕÇÑ ºÏÇÑÀÇ ÇÙ ¹®Á¦¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ±¹Á¦ÀûÀÎ ÀÔÀåµéÀº, ±¹Á¦ÀûÀÎ ½Ã°¢¿¡¼­ ºÏÇÑÀÇ ÇÙ ¹®Á¦´Â ºñ·Ï ºÏÇÑ°úÀÇ ±ººñ ÅëÁ¦ ¹®Á¦¿¡ ´ëÇØ ±â²¨È÷ ³ª¼­°Ú´Ù´Â ÀÔÀåÀ» º¸À̸鼭µµ ºÏÇÑÀÇ Åµµ¿¡¼­ º¯È­°¡ ¾ø´Ù´Â °ÍÀ» ¾ð±ÞÇÏ´Â °ÍÀ» º¼ ¼ö°¡ ÀÖ´Ù. ( Official¡¯s Suggestion of ¡° Arms-Control talks with North Korea Raises Eyebrow, Oct. 29, 2022, CNN World Story by Reuters )

CNN Àº Bonnie Jenkins, ( ¹Ì±¹¹«»ó ±ººñ ÅëÁ¦ ºÎÀå°ü )¸¦ ÀοëÇÏ¿© ºÏÇÑÀÌ Ãß±¸ÇÏ´Â ¡±ÇÙ º¸À¯±¹¡° Àº ±×·¯ÇÑ È¸´ãÀ» ÀüÁ¦Çϱâ´Â Çϳª ¹Ì±¹Àº ¿À·§ µ¿¾È ºÏÇÑÀÇ ÇÙ ÇÁ·Î±×¶÷ÀÌ ºÒ¹ýÀûÀÌ°í UNÁ¦ÀçÀÇ ´ë»óÀÌ µÈ´Ù°í Çϸ鼭, ºÏÇÑÀÌ ´ëÈ­¸¦ ¿øÇÑ´Ù¸ç À̵é°ú ´ëÈ­¸¦ ÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù°í ¾ð±ÞÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Ù. ÀÌ ´ëÈ­¿¡¼­´Â ´Ü¼øÈ÷ ±ººñ ÅëÁ¦ »Ó ¾Æ´Ï¶ó À§±â Ãà¼Ò µîÀ» Æ÷ÇÔÇÑ ±ººñ ÅëÁ¦ Á¶¾à µî°ú °°Àº ´Ù¾çÇÑ ³íÀǸ¦ ³íÀÇÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù°í ´ë´äÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Ù.

Jenkins ´Â DPRK ¶ó´Â ¸íĪÀ» ¾²¸é¼­ ºÏÇÑ°ú ¾Æ¹« ÀüÁ¦¾øÀÌ ´ëÈ­¸¦ ÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù´Â ÀÔÀåÀ» º¸ÀÌ°í ÀÖ´Ù. ÀÌ¿¡ ´ëÇØ ¹Ì±¹µµ ±× ¿Ü±³Àû ÇØ°áÀ» ¿øÇÏ´Â °Í¿¡ º¯È­°¡ ¾ø´Ù´Â ÀÔÀåÀ» º¸¿´´Ù. ÀÌ°ÍÀº 2017³âºÎÅÍ °è¼ÓµÈ ºÏÇÑÀÇ ÇÙ½ÇÇè¿¡ ´ëÇÑ Biden Á¤ºÎÀÇ ºÒ¸¸°ú °ü·ÃµÈ °ÍÀ¸·Î º¸ÀδÙ.

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¶Ç ´Ù¸¥ ºÏÇÙ °ü°è Àü¹®°¡ÀÎ Yong-Suk Lee ( Asia Program ) Àº US and North Korea : Testing the Water on Arms Control,( Foreign Policy Research Institute, 2023, 12, 21 ) ¶ó´Â ±Û¿¡¼­ ¹Ì±¹ÀÌ 1990³â´ë ºÎÅÍ ±× ºÏÇÑ Á¤Ã¥ ¸ñÇ¥ ¿´´ø ºñÇÙÈ­°¡ Æò¾çÀÇ ÇÙ ¹«±â ¹× ¹Ì»çÀÏ ±â¼úÀÇ °³¹ß, ½ÃÇè, ¼öÃâÀÇ ¾ïÁö¿¡¼­ ½ÇÆÐÇßÀ¸¸ç, ¹Ì±¹Àº ±× Á¤Ã¥ ¸ñÇ¥¸¦ ºñÇÙÈ­¿¡¼­ ±ººñ ÅëÁ¦¿Í Ãà¼Ò·Î º¯°æÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù°í °­Á¶ÇÏ¿´´Ù. ±×´Â Æò¾ç°úÀÇ ´ÙÀÚ, ½Ö¹æ ȸ´ã¿¡ ¼ö¹ÝÇÒ °Ë»ç±â±¸°¡ Àü·« ¹«±â ÇÁ·Î±×·¥, ¶Ç ºÏÇÑ ÇÙ ¹«±âÀÇ Ãà¼Ò, ±×¸®°í ÇÙ È®»ê À§ÇèÀÇ ¹®Á¦ µîÀ» ´Ù·ê °ÍÀ̶ó°í °­Á¶ÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Ù.

 

CNN ÀÌ ÃëÇÕÇÑ ºÏÇÙ ¹®Á¦¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ¹Ì±¹ Àü¹®°¡µé, D. Kimball °ú Toby Dalton ( Carnegie Endowment for International Peace ÀÇ ÇÙ Àü¹®°¡ ) Àº ±ººñ ÅëÁ¦ ´ëÈ­¿¡ÀÇ Âü°¡ÀÇ ÀüÁ¦ Á¶°ÇÀ¸·Î ÇÙ ¹«±â ±¹°¡ ·Î¼­ °ø½Ä ÀÎÁ¤¹Þ´Â °ÍÀº ¾Æ´Ï¶ó°í °­Á¶ÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Ù. Dalton Àº ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ Jenkins ±ººñ ÅëÁ¦°üÀÌ Æò¾çÀ» ÀüÁ¦ Á¶°Ç ¾øÀÌ ´ëÈ­¿¡ ±â²¨È÷ Âü¿©½ÃÅ°°Ú´Ù´Â ÀÔÀåÀ» Àç õ¸íÇÑ °ÍÀ¸·Î º¸°í ÀÖ¾ú´Ù


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