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Trump ÀÇ Á¤Ã¥ ÀÚ¿øÀÇ °í°¥
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Trump ÀÇ Á¤Ã¥ ÀÚ¿øÀÇ °í°¥

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ÀÌ¿Í °ü·ÃÇÏ¿© ¾ð±ÞÇØ¾ß ÇÒ °ÍÀº ¹Ì±¹ÀÌ ºÏÇÑÀÇ ºñÇÙÈ­ ¹®Á¦¿Í ³²-ºÏÇÑ °ü°è´Â º°°³°¡ ¾Æ´Ï¶ó´Â ÀÔÀåÀ» Ç¥¸íÇϸ鼭 Ç¥¸éÈ­ µÇ±â ½ÃÀÛÇÑ ³²ºÏ¿¬¶ô»ç¹«¼Ò ¼³Ä¡ÀÇ ¹®Á¦µµ »ç½Ç»ó ³²ºÏ°ü°èÀÇ ÁøÀüÀ» °¡·Î¸·´Â Àǹ̷ΠµîÀåÇÏ°Ô µÈ °ÍÀÌ´Ù. ¹® ´ëÅë·ÉÀº 8¿ù 15ÀÏ ¿¬¼³¿¡¼­ ³²ºÏ ¿¬¶ô »ç¹«¼Ò ¼³Ä¡ ¹®Á¦¸¦ ¾ð±ÞÇß°í, ÀÌ°ÍÀÌ ¹Ì±¹°úÀÇ °ü°è¿¡¼­ ¹®Á¦·Î µÉ °Í¿¡ ´ëÇØ 8¿ù 20ÀÏ Ã»¿Í´ë´Â ¹®Á¦°¡ µÉ °ÍÀÌ ¾ø´Ù°í ¹àÇû´Ù.
8¿ù 22ÀÏ Æ®·³ÇÁ´Â ¾Æº£¿¡°Ô ÀüÈ­¸¦ °É¾î ºñÇÙÈ­¿¡ ´ëÇÑ °­·ÂÇÑ Á¦Àç ÀÔÀåÀ» Àç È®ÀÎÇÏ¿´°í, 8¿ù 24ÀÏ Æ®·³ÇÁ´Â ºñÇÙÈ­¿¡¼­ ÃæºÐÇÑ ÁøÀüÀÌ ¾ø¾ú°í, Áß±¹ÀÌ ºñÇÙÈ­¿¡ ´ëÇÑ µµ¿òÀ» ÁÖ°í ÀÖÁö ¸øÇÏ´Ù´Â ÀÌÀ¯·Î Áß±¹ÀÇ Ã¥Àӷеµ ¾ð±ÞÇϸ鼭 ¾Æ¿ï·¯ ±è¿µÃ¶¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ºñÆÇÀ» ¾ð±ÞÇϸ鼭 Pompeo ÀÇ ¹æºÏÀ» Àü°Ý Ãë¼ÒÇÏ¿´´Ù.

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ÀÌ¹Ì ºÏ-¹Ì ȸ´ãÀÇ Áß´ÜÀÌ ¹ßÇ¥µÇ±â ÀÌÀüºÎÅÍ ¹Ì ±ººÎ¿¡¼­´Â ºÏÇÑÀÇ ICBM ÀÌ ¿Ï¼ºµÇÁö ¸øÇß´Ù´Â ¾ð±ÞÀÌ ³ª¿À°í ÀÖ¾ú°í- ¹Ì±¹ ÇÕÂüÂ÷Àå, Paul Selva ´Â ºÏÇÑÀÌ µÎ ´Ü°è¸¦ ´õ °ÅÃÄ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù°í ¾ð±Þ, 2018.0812, -, ÀϺΠ¸Åü¿¡¼­µµ B-52 ¸¦ µ¿¿øÇÑ ¹Ì-ÀÏÀÇ ºÏÇÑ¿¡ ´ëÇÑ °øÁß °ø°Ý ÈÆ·ÃÀÌ Àç°³µÇ°í ÀÖ´Ù´Â º¸µµ ( 2018, 07.29 )°¡ ÀÖ¾ú´Ù.
¹Ì±¹ÀÌ ºÏÇÑÀÇ Á¾Àü¼±¾ðÀ» ½±°Ô ¹Þ¾Æ µéÀÌÁö ¾Ê´Â ÀÌÀ¯´Â ¹Ì±¹ÀÌ ºÏÇÑÀÇ ºñÇÙÈ­¸¦ À§ÇÑ °­°æÇÑ Á¦À縦 À¯ÁöÇϱâ À§ÇÏ¿© ±º»ç·Â »ç¿ëÀÇ °¡´É¼ºÀ» È®º¸ ÇÏ·Á´Âµ¥ ÀÖ´Ù°í ÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù. ÀÌ·¯ÇÑ ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ ÀÔÀåÀº, ºÏÇÑÀÌ ºñÇÙÈ­¿Í ºÏÇÑ¿¡ ´ëÇÑ Á¦Àç ¹®Á¦¸¦ ¿¬°è½ÃÄÑ ´Ü°èÀûÀ¸·Î ÇØÁ¦Çϱ⸦ ¿ä±¸Çϴµ¥ ´ëÇØ, ¹Ì±¹Àº 6,12 Á¤»óȸ´ã ½Ã¿¡´Â ºñÇÙÈ­°¡ 20% ÁøÀüµÇ¸é Á¦Àç ÇØÁ¦°¡ ½ÃÀÛµÉ ¼ö ÀÖ´Â °ÍÀ¸·Î ¾ð±ÞÇßÀ¸³ª, ÇöÀç¿¡´Â ¿ÏÀüÇÑ ºñÇÙÈ­°¡ ÀÌ·ç¾î Áú ¶§±îÁö Á¦À縦 À¯ÁöÇÏ´Â °ÍÀ» õ¸íÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Ù. ¿ÀÈ÷·Á ÇöÀç ´Ü°è¿¡¼­´Â ¹Ì±¹ÀÌ Á¾Àü¼±¾ðÀ» À§ÇÑ Á¶°ÇÀ¸·Î ºÏÇÑÀÇ ÇÙ¸®½ºÆ®¸¦ Á¦ÃâÇÒ °ÍÀ» ¿ä±¸ÇÏ°í ÀÖ°í, ¾ÆÁ÷±îÁöµµ ºÏÇÑ ÇÙ ¹Ì»çÀÏÀÇ 6-70%¸¦ Á¦3 ±¹°¡·ÎÀÇ ¹ÝÃâÀ» ¿ä±¸ÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Ù´Â °ÍÀÌ´Ù.*

* ¸®ºñ¾Æ¸ðµ¨Àº ºñÇÙÈ­¸¦ À§ÇÑ ¸ðµ¨·Î¼­´Â ½ÇÆÐÀÛÀ̶ó°í ÇÒ ¼ö ¹Û¿¡ ¾ø´Ù. ±× ÀÌÀ¯´Â ¸®ºñ¾Æ¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ºñÇÙÈ­ °úÁ¤¿¡¼­ ¸®ºñ¾Æ¿¡ ´ëÇÑ Regime Change¸¦ ½ÃµµÇÏ¿© ¸®ºñ¾Æ´Â Á¤±ÇÀÌ Àüº¹µÇ¾ú±â ¶§¹®ÀÌ´Ù. ÀÌ ¿Ü¿¡ ¹Ì±¹ÀÌ ºñÇÙÈ­¸¦ ½ÃµµÇÑ °æ¿ì´Â Àü ¼Ò·Ã ¿µÅä¿¡ ÀÖ´Â ÇÙ¹«±â ¹× ½Ã¼³ ±×¸®°í ÇÙ ¹°ÁúÀÇ Ã³¸®¿¡ °üÇÑ ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ Á¢±Ù ¹æ½ÄÀÌ Àִµ¥, 1990³â´ë Ãʹݿ¡ ÀÖ¾ú´ø ÀÌ ºñÇÙÈ­´Â ¼º°øÀûÀ¸·Î ¼öÇàÀÌ µÇ¾ú´Ù. ÀÌ ¶§ Àû¿ëÇÑ ºñÇÙÈ­¸¦ ¸ðµ¨ ( ´ëü·Î Nunn-Lugar ¹æ½Ä¿¡ ÀÇÇÑ ºñÇÙÈ­ )·Î Àû¸³ÇÑ º¸°í¼­µéÀÌ ¹Ì±¹ Á¤ºÎ ³»¿¡ ÀÖÁö¸¸, Trump Á¤±ÇÀÇ Ãø±ÙµéÀº ÀÌ ¸ðµ¨¿¡ ´ëÇØ °ÅÀÇ ¾ð±ÞÀÌ ¾ø´Ù. ¹Ì±¹ÀÌ ºÏÇÑ¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ºñÇÙÈ­¸¦ ½ÃµµÇÏ´Â ±âº»Àû ŵµ´Â ºÏÇÑÀ» Àû±¹À̶ó´Â ÀÔÀå¿¡¼­ Á¢¼öÇØ µé¾î°¡´Â ¸ð¾ç»õ¸¦ ÃëÇÏ·Á´Â Àǵµ¿¡ µÎ°í Àֱ⠶§¹®¿¡ ºÏÇÙÀÇ ÇØ¿Ü ¹ÝÃâ, ºÏÇÙ °úÇÐÀÚµéÀÇ ÇØ¿Ü ÀÌÁÖ µîÀ» ¿ä±¸ÇÏ°í, ¶Ç ºÏÇÑÀÌ ºÎºÐÀûÀ¸·Î ÇÙ °ü·Ã ½Ã¼³ µîÀ» Á¦°ÅÇÏ´Â ¸ð½ÀÀÌ ºñÇÙÈ­¿¡ ÇØ´çµÇÁö ¾Ê´Â ´Ù´Â ŵµ¸¦ ÃëÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Â °ÍÀ¸·Î º¸ÀδÙ. ±×·¯³ª ±¸¼Ò·Ã ¿µÅä¿¡¼­ÀÇ ºñÇÙÈ­¿¡´Â ½Ã¼³ÀÇ Ã¶¼ö, Á¦°Åµµ ºñÇÙÈ­ÀÇ ÀÏȯÀ¸·Î ´Ù·ç°í ÀÖ´Ù.


Æ®·³ÇÁ Ãø±ÙÀº ºÏÇÙÀÇ ¹®Á¦¸¦ ÇØ°áÇÏ´Â µ¥¼­ óÀ½ºÎÅÍ ¸®ºñ¾Æ¸ðµ¨À» ¾ð±ÞÇØ ¿Ô°í, 6¿ù¿¡ µé¾î¼­¼­ ºñ·Î¼­ Nunn-Lugar ÀÇ Nuclear threat Reduction ÀÇ ¸ðµ¨¿¡ ´ëÇØ ºê¸®ÇÎÀ» ¹Þ¾Ò´Ù. ±×·¯³ª ÀÌ Ãø±ÙµéÀº ºÏÇÙ ¹®Á¦ÀÇ ÇØ°áÀ» Bolton ÀÇ ÁÖÀå¿¡ µû¶ó ¸®ºñ¾Æ¸ðµ¨À» Àû¿ëÇϱ⸦ °è¼ÓÇß°í, µû¶ó¼­ ºÏÇÙÀÇ ¹ÝÃâ, Æó±â ¹®Á¦¸¦ ¿ì¼±ÀûÀ¸·Î ¿ä±¸Çß°í, ¹Ì±¹Àº 6,12 ºÏ-¹Ì °øµ¿ ¼º¸í¿¡µµ ºÒ±¸ÇÏ°í °ü°èÁøÀüÀ» °ÅºÎÇÏ°í ºÏÇÙ ¸®½ºÆ®ÀÇ Á¦ÃâÀ» ºÏÇÑÀÌ ¿ä±¸ÇÏ´Â Á¾Àü ÇùÁ¤ÀÇ ÀüÁ¦ Á¶°ÇÀ¸·Î ¿ä±¸ÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Ù.*

*¹Ì-ºÏÇÑ °£ ºñÇÙÈ­¸¦ À§ÇÑ Á¢ÃËÀÌ ½ÃÀ۵Ǹ鼭 ¹Ì±¹Àº ºÏÇÑÀÇ ºñÇÙÈ­¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ºñ¿ëÀ» ºÎ´ãÇÒ Àǻ簡 ¾ø´Ù°í ¹àÇû°í,ÀÌ¿¡ ´ëÇØ Çѱ¹ Ãø¿¡¼­´Â ±¸ ¼Ò·Ã¿µÅäÀÇ ºñÇÙÈ­¸¦ À§ÇÑ °úÇÐ ±â¼úÀÚµéÀÇ ±³À° µîÀ» À§ÇÑ ¼¾Å¸ÀÇ ¼³¸³°ú °°Àº ±â±¸ÀÇ ºñ¿ë µîÀ» Çѱ¹ ÃøÀÌ ³²-ºÏ¹ßÀü±â±ÝÀ¸·Î ºÎ´ãÇÒ °Í µîÀÇ ³íÀÇ°¡ Àü°³µÇÀÚ Æ®·³ÇÁ ÃøÀº Çѱ¹ Ãø¿¡°Ô ºÏÇÑÀÇ ºñÇÙÈ­¿¡ ±íÀÌ °ü¿©ÇÏÁö ¸»°ÍÀ» ¿ä±¸ÇÏ¿´´Ù.

 
À̸¥¹Ù Madman Theory ¿¡ ±â¹ÝÀ» µÎ¾ú´Ù°í ÇÏ´Â TrumpÀÇ ´ëºÏ Á¤Ã¥Àº Bolton, Pompeo ¸¦ Madman À¸·Î ÇÏ´Â °­°æ ÀϺ¯µµÀÇ Á¦À縦 ÁÖ¿ä ¼ö´ÜÀ¸·Î ÇÏ´Â ¾Ð¹ÚÀûÀÎ °Í¿¡ ÀÇÁ¸ÇÏ°í ÀÖ¾ú´Ù. ºÏÇÑÀº ¹Ì±¹°ú ºñÇÙÈ­ÀÇ ¹®Á¦¸¦ ³íÀÇÇϱâ À§ÇÑ ÀüÁ¦·Î Àû´ëÀû °ü°è¸¦ ÇؼÒÇϱ⸦ Èñ¸ÁÇß´Ù. ¹Ì-ºÏÀÇ ´ëÈ­°¡ ½ÃÀ۵Ǹ鼭 ºÎºÐÀûÀ¸·Î °ü°èÀÇ °³¼±ÀÌ ÀÖ¾úÀ¸³ª ºÏÇÑ¿¡ ´ëÇÑ °æÁ¦Àû Á¦Àç´Â ´õ¿í °­È­µÇ¾ú°í, ÀÌ ±¹Á¦Àû Á¦Àç´Â ºñÇÙÈ­°¡ ³¡³¯ ¶§ ±îÁö °è¼Ó µÉ °ÍÀ¸·Î ÁÖÀåµÇ°í ÀÖ´Ù.
Á¾Àü ¼±¾ðÀÇ ¹®Á¦µµ °á±¹Àº ÀÌ °­°æÇÑ Á¦Àç üÁ¦¸¦ À¯ÁöÇϱâ À§ÇÏ¿© µ¿¿ø °¡´ÉÇÑ ±º»ç·ÂÀÇ »ç¿ë °¡´É¼ºÀ» ±× ¼ö´ÜÀ¸·Î Çϱâ À§ÇÑ °ÍÀ̶ó¸é ¹Ì±¹À¸·Î¼­´Â ÇϳªÀÇ ÀüÁ¦¿¡ ºÒ°úÇÑ °ÍÀ̾ú´Ù.
±Ã±ØÀûÀ¸·Î ÀÌ Madman Theory ÀÇ ¸ÍÁ¡Àº ¹®Á¦ÀÇ ÇØ°áÀ» À§ÇÑ °ÍÀ̶ó±â º¸´Ù´Â ÇÙ À§ÇùÀ» Á¦°ÅÇϱâ À§ÇÑ ´õ ÇÑÃþ °­°æÇÑ, ±Ø´ÜÀÇ ±äÀå°¨À» Á¶¼ºÇÏ´Â °ÍÀ̶ó´Âµ¥ ÀÖ´Ù. ½ÇÁ¦·Î Nixon ÇàÁ¤ºÎ°¡ ÀÌ Madman Theory ¸¦ µ¿¿øÇß´ø º£Æ®³²ÀÇ °æ¿ì ÀáÁ¤ÀûÀÎ ÈÞÀüÀ» ÅëÇØ ÇÕÀÇ°¡ ÀÌ·ç¾î Áö±â´Â ÇßÀ¸³ª º£Æ®³²ÀÇ ÃÖÁ¾Àû ÇØ°áÀº À̺¸´Ù ¸î ³âÀÌ Áö³ª »çȸÁÖÀÇ °øÈ­±¹¿¡ ÀÇÇÑ ÅëÀÏ·Î ³¡ÀÌ ³ª °á±¹Àº ÀÌ Á¤Ã¥Àº ½ÇÆÐÇÑ °ÍÀÓÀ» ¸í½ÉÇÒ ÇÊ¿ä°¡ ÀÖ´Ù.
ÃÖ±Ù ¹Ì±¹ Á¤ºÎ´Â ÀÌ·¯ÇÑ °æÁ¦Àû Á¦À縦 ÅëÇÑ ¾Ð¹Ú Á¤Ã¥À» ·¯½Ã¾Æ, À̶õ, Áß±¹, ±×¸®°í ÅÍÅ° µî¿¡  °¡Çϸ鼭 ºÎºÐÀûÀ¸·Î ¹Ì±¹ °æÁ¦¿¡ÀÇ À̵æÀ» °¡Á®¿À´Â °ÍÀ¸·Î º¸À̱⵵ Çß´Ù. Bloomberg Åë½ÅÀº Áö³­ 8¿ù 24ÀÏ ¹Ì »ó¿ø û¹®È¸¿¡¼­ John Kennedy ÀÇ¿øÀÌ ¹Ì±¹ ÇàÁ¤ºÎÀÇ °íÀ§ Á¦Àç°ü·á¿¡°Ô " ·¯½Ã¾Æ °æÁ¦¸¦ ¹«¸­ ²Ý°Ô Ç϶ó°í ¸í·ÉÇÑ´Ù¸é ¾î¶»°Ô ÇÏ°Ú³Ä "°í Áú¹®ÇÏÀÚ ±× °ü·á´Â Áï´äÀ» ȸÇÇÇϸ鼭 " ±×·± ¸ñÇ¥ÀÇ Á¦Àç´Â ÀÌ¹Ì ÃæºÐÈ÷ °ø°ÝÀûÀ̾ú´Ù" °í¸¸ ´ë´äÇÏ¿´´Ù.°í ÀüÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Ù. ·¯½Ã¾Æ°¡ Áö´Ñ 4860¾ïºÒÀÇ ºÎä, ·¯½Ã¾ÆÀÇ 4000¾ï ºÒÀÇ ¿ÜÈ­ º¸À¯, ·¯½Ã¾ÆÀÇ ¿ÀÀÏ, °¡½ºÀÇ ¼öÃâ ºÀ¼â, µîÀº Á¦Àç¿Í °ü·ÃÇÏ¿© º¼ ¶§, ¿ÀÈ÷·Á ¼¼°è °æÁ¦ÀÇ ¹®Á¦¸¦ ºÒ·¯ ÀÏÀ¸Å³ ¿°·Á°¡ ÀÖ´Â °ÍÀ¸·Î µé¸é¼­, Leonid Bershidsky ´Â ·¯½Ã¾Æ °æÁ¦°¡ ¹«¸­À» ²ÝÁö´Â ¾ÊÀ» °ÍÀ¸·Î º¸¸é¼­ ÀÛÁö¸¸ ¼ºÀåÀ» °è¼ÓÇÒ °ÍÀ¸·Î º¸¾Ò´Ù. ( Bloomberg, 08.24, 2018 )
¹Ì±¹ÀÌ ºÏÇÙ °ü°è¿¡¼­ Á¾Àü ÇùÁ¤À» ¹Ì·ç¸é¼­ 6.12 ÀÌÀüÀÇ Á¤Àü »óÅ·ÎÀÇ º¹±Í¸¦ ½ÃµµÇÏ´Â °ÍÀº ÀÌ·¯ÇÑ °­°æÁ¤Ã¥ÀÇ È¿°ú¸¦ °¡Á®¿À±â À§ÇÑ Madman Á¤Ã¥¿¡ÀÇ ¹Ì·ÃÀ» ¹ö¸®Áö ¸øÇ߱⠶§¹®ÀÌ´Ù.

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Kissinger ´Â ½Ç¿ëÀûÀÌ°í Çö½ÇÁÖÀÇÀû ÁöµµÀÚ´Â, ƯÈ÷ ¹Ì±¹ °°Àº »çȸ¿¡¼­ °æÇèÀû Àü¹®°¡µéÀÌ ÀϹÝÀûÀ¸·Î ÀÎÁ¤ÇÑ ÇüŸ¦ ÅëÇÑ Á¤Ã¥ ÆǴܺ¸´Ù´Â ±×°ÍÀ» ½ÇÇàÇϱâ À§ÇÑ ¹æ¹ý¿¡ ´õ °ü½ÉÀ» µÎ¸ç, Á¤Ã¥ ÆÇ´ÜÀ» ¹æ¹ý·ÐÀ¸·Î Ãà¼Ò½ÃÅ°¸ç µ¿½Ã¿¡ Á¤Ã¥ °¡Ä¡ÀÇ ¹®Á¦µµ Áö½ÄÀÇ ¹®Á¦·Î Ãà¼Ò½ÃÅ°´Â °æÇâÀÌ ÀÖ´Ù°í ÁöÀûÇÑ´Ù.
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À̵éÀº Á¤Ã¥¹®Á¦µéÀÌ ±× ÇØ°áÀ» °­·ÂÈ÷ ¿ä±¸ÇÒ ¶§¸¸ ±×°ÍÀ» ´Ù·ç°Ô µÇ¸ç, ±× Ãø±ÙµéÀÇ »óÃæµÇ´Â ÆĹúÀû °ßÇØ´Â ±× »ç°ÇµéÀ» °¡Àå ±Ø´ÜÀûÀÎ ÇüÅ·Π±â¼úÇÏ·Á´Â Àμ¾Æ¼ºê¸¦ °¡Áö°Ô µÇ¸ç, ±× ±Ã±ØÀû ÇØ°áÀº ´ëºÎºÐ ±× Çù»ó°úÁ¤¿¡ ÀÇÁ¸ÇÏ°Ô µÈ´Ù.°í Kissinger ´Â º¸°í ÀÖ´Ù.
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1970³â´ë¿¡ ¹Ì±¹Àº Kissinger ÀÇ Á¦¾È¿¡ µû¶ó ¹Ì-Áß°ø °ü°è È­Çظ¦ Ãß±¸Çϸ鼭 ÀÌ È­Çظ¦ À§ÇÑ ¸ð¸àÅèÀ» Á¶¼ºÇϱâ À§ÇØ Çѹݵµ¿¡¼­ ³²-ºÏÇÑ °£ÀÇ ´ëÈ­¸¦ ÃßÁøÇß°í, À̸¦ À§Çì Áß°øÀº ºÏÇÑ¿¡, ¹Ì±¹Àº ³²ÇÑ¿¡ °¢°¢ ¿µÇâ·ÂÀ» Çà»çÇÏ¿© ³²-ºÏ´ëÈ­¸¦ °¡Áö±â¸¦ ¿ä±¸Çß´Ù. ÇöÀç »óȲ¿¡¼­ ¹Ì±¹Àº
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ÀÌ°ÍÀº ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ ºÏÇÙ Á¤Ã¥ÀÇ µÚƲ¸° ¸ð½ÀÀ» ´ÜÀûÀ¸·Î º¸¿©ÁÖ°í ÀÖ´Ù.

Mattis °¡ ÀÌ¹Ì ¾ð±ÞÇß´ø °Íó·³, ±×¸¦ ÅëÇØ ºÏÇÑÀÇ ¹Ì±º À¯ÇØ ¹ß±¼¿ï À§ÇÑ ¹Ì-ºÏ Á¢±ÙÀ» ½ÃµµÇϸ鼭 ¾ç±¹°£ÀÇ »óó³­ °ü°è¸¦ Ä¡À¯Çϸ鼭 °ü°è¸¦ º¹¿øÇÏ´Â °Íµµ ÇϳªÀÇ ¹æ¹ýÀÌ µÉ ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù.


turkerview 24-05-22 18:50
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biiut 24-05-30 16:40
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annas 24-05-30 16:41
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